Njengoba i-northern hemisphere ingena kancane kancane ebusika kanye nesitoreji segesi esimweni esihle, kuleli sonto, ezinye izinkontileka zegesi yemvelo zesikhashana e-United States naseYurophu zamangala ukubona "izintengo zegesi ezimbi".Ingabe isiyaluyalu esikhulu emakethe yegesi yemvelo emhlabeni wonke sesidlulile?
I-International Energy Agency (IEA) isanda kukhipha umbiko we-Natural Gas Analysis and Outlook (2022-2025), othi nakuba imakethe yegesi yemvelo yaseNyakatho Melika isasebenza, ukusetshenziswa kwegesi yemvelo emhlabeni jikelele kulindeleke ukuthi kwehle ngo-0.5% kulo nyaka ngenxa ekunciphiseni imisebenzi yezomnotho e-Asia kanye nenani eliphakeme lesidingo segesi yemvelo eYurophu.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, i-IEA isaxwayisa ekubukeni kwayo kwemakethe yegesi yemvelo yekota ukuthi iYurophu isazobhekana nengozi “engakaze ibonwe” yokushoda kwegesi yemvelo ebusika buka-2022/2023, futhi yaphakamisa ukonga igesi.
Ngokumelene nesizinda sokwehla kwesidingo emhlabeni wonke, ukwehla kweYurophu kubaluleke kakhulu.Lo mbiko ukhombisa ukuthi kusukela kulo nyaka, amanani egesi yemvelo aguquguquka futhi ukuhlinzekwa akuzinzile ngenxa yokungqubuzana phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine.Isidingo segesi yemvelo eYurophu ezingxenyeni ezintathu zokuqala zehle ngo-10% uma kuqhathaniswa nesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule.
Ngesikhathi esifanayo, isidingo segesi yemvelo e-Asia naseCentral naseNingizimu Melika siphinde sehla.Kodwa-ke, lo mbiko ukholelwa ukuthi izici zokuncipha kwesidingo kulezi zifunda zihlukile kulezo zase-Europe, ikakhulukazi ngoba imisebenzi yezomnotho ayikalulami ngokugcwele.
INyakatho Melika ingenye yezifunda ezimbalwa lapho isidingo segesi yemvelo senyuke kusukela kulo nyaka - isidingo se-United States neCanada senyuke ngo-4% no-8% ngokulandelana.
Ngokusho kwedatha enikezwe uMongameli weKhomishini YaseYurophu u-Von Delain ekuqaleni kuka-Okthoba, ukuthembela kwe-EU kugesi yemvelo yaseRussia kwehle kusuka ku-41% ekuqaleni konyaka kuya ku-7.5% okwamanje.Nokho, iYurophu isifeze injongo yayo yokugcina igesi ngaphambi kwesikhathi esimisiwe lapho ingenakukwazi ukulindela ukuba igesi yemvelo yaseRussia iphile ebusika.Ngokwemininingwane ye-European Natural Gas Infrastructure (GIE), izinqolobane zezikhungo ze-UGS eYurophu sezifinyelele ku-93.61%.Ngaphambilini, amazwe e-EU azibophezele okungenani ku-80% wezindawo zokugcina igesi ebusika kulo nyaka kanye nama-90% kuzo zonke izikhathi zasebusika ezizayo.
Kusukela ngesikhathi sokukhishwa kwabezindaba, i-TTF benchmark Dutch gas yemvelo yentengo yesikhathi esizayo, eyaziwa ngokuthi "i-wind vane" yamanani egesi yemvelo yaseYurophu, yabika i-99.79 euros/MWh ngoNovemba, ngaphezu kuka-70% ephansi kunenani eliphakeme lama-350 euros / MWh ngo-Agasti.
I-IEA ikholelwa ukuthi ukukhula kwemakethe yegesi yemvelo kusahamba kancane futhi kunokungaqiniseki okukhulu.Umbiko ubikezela ukuthi ukukhula kwesidingo segesi yemvelo emhlabeni wonke ngo-2024 kulindeleke ukuthi kunciphe ngo-60% uma kuqhathaniswa nesibikezelo sangaphambilini;Ngo-2025, isidingo segesi yemvelo emhlabeni wonke sizoba nesilinganiso sokukhula konyaka kuphela ngo-0.8%, okungamaphesenti angu-0.9 aphansi kunesibikezelo sangaphambilini sokukhula okumaphakathi konyaka ngo-1.7%.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Oct-28-2022